Macro-to-Micro Longevity Forecasting

A two-tier predictive pipeline ("End of Aging Clocks") quantifying national healthcare and pension solvency risk for 2030–2050. It intersects macro demographic shifts — modeled via the UN Population Prospects dataset and the standard Dependency Ratio — with a micro-level bio-informatic aging model trained on NHANES data to predict each person's "morbidity-free window." The pipeline runs 10,000 Monte Carlo trials to produce budget solvency profiles, with an interactive dashboard showing how a 2-year increase in healthy lifespan offsets sovereign debt risk from an aging population.